Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.100815 0.116556 0.133932 0.154537 0.178306 0.204871 0.236822
2025-12-21 0.076050 0.097167 0.122869 0.156454 0.199201 0.251830 0.321621
2025-12-28 0.064750 0.088716 0.119942 0.163608 0.223141 0.301558 0.412883
2026-01-04 0.056208 0.081529 0.116406 0.167953 0.242279 0.345723 0.500974
2026-01-11 0.049665 0.075685 0.113289 0.171599 0.259854 0.388681 0.591565
2026-01-18 0.043963 0.070023 0.109342 0.172982 0.273580 0.426817 0.678767
2026-01-25 0.038549 0.063929 0.103758 0.170801 0.281064 0.455690 0.754331
2026-02-01 0.033413 0.057525 0.096766 0.165266 0.282137 0.474023 0.814368
2026-02-08 0.030641 0.054629 0.095022 0.167968 0.296770 0.515491 0.916881
2026-02-15 0.027925 0.051459 0.092377 0.168678 0.307838 0.551772 1.014052
2026-02-22 0.025806 0.049066 0.090756 0.170895 0.321609 0.593869 1.125789
2026-03-01 0.023184 0.045416 0.086439 0.167616 0.324822 0.617081 1.204925
2026-03-08 0.020991 0.042362 0.082955 0.165640 0.330506 0.645906 1.298952
2026-03-15 0.019515 0.040542 0.081621 0.167681 0.344218 0.691474 1.431030
2026-03-22 0.018805 0.040169 0.083051 0.175348 0.369914 0.762998 1.623134
2026-03-29 0.017839 0.039143 0.083035 0.180004 0.389870 0.824939 1.802158
2026-04-05 0.016886 0.038029 0.082699 0.183911 0.408607 0.886182 1.986330
2026-04-12 0.015808 0.036508 0.081328 0.185393 0.422198 0.937822 2.155089
2026-04-19 0.014525 0.034377 0.078394 0.183056 0.427000 0.970790 2.285493
2026-04-26 0.013103 0.031760 0.074098 0.177124 0.422928 0.983534 2.370687
2026-05-03 0.012441 0.030863 0.073615 0.180019 0.439705 1.045267 2.577785
2026-05-10 0.011691 0.029665 0.072304 0.180781 0.451445 1.096421 2.764935
2026-05-17 0.011103 0.028800 0.071688 0.183156 0.467345 1.158976 2.986887